2026 CFP Eliminator · Snapshot Oct 20 · Not live

Utah’s road to the CFP

A FEW HURDLES · Difficulty #17 of 44

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What Utah needs

Needs 4 more regular-season wins. Current record 6–0; estimated minimum 10 wins.

10-24Win vs. Houston
10-31Win at Cincinnati
11-07Win vs. BYU
11-14Win at Arizona
11-21Win at TCU
11-27Win vs. West Virginia

And some help elsewhere

13 modeled favorite reversals in games not involving Utah.

10-24Auburn over LSU
10-31Wisconsin over Iowa
11-07Georgia over Ole Miss
11-07Missouri over Texas
11-14Mississippi State over Auburn
11-14Michigan over Oregon
11-14Oklahoma over Ole Miss
11-14Oregon State over Boise State
11-21Missouri over Kentucky
11-21Tennessee over LSU

And 3 more favorite reversals in the complete scenario.

The path is the most likely single complete set of remaining results that satisfies our editorial minimum-win and 12-seat scenario constraints. Its difficulty ranking is relative to the other 43 teams under this same model, not an estimate of actual CFP selection probability. Automatic bids, Notre Dame's top-12 exception, and the selection committee are not fully modeled. October 20, 2026 data snapshot.