2026 CFP Eliminator · Snapshot Oct 20 · Not live

Minnesota’s road to the CFP

FULL-ON MAYHEM · Difficulty #44 of 44

Explore the full interactive path →Download share graphic ↓

What Minnesota needs

Must win out. Current record 4–2; estimated minimum 10 wins.

10-24Win vs. Iowa
10-31Win at Indiana
11-07Win vs. UCLA
11-14Win at Penn State
11-21Win vs. Northwestern
11-27Win at Wisconsin

And some help elsewhere

15 modeled favorite reversals in games not involving Minnesota.

10-24Auburn over LSU
11-07BYU over Utah
11-07Georgia over Ole Miss
11-07Missouri over Texas
11-14Mississippi State over Auburn
11-14Michigan over Oregon
11-14Oklahoma over Ole Miss
11-14Oregon State over Boise State
11-14Arizona over Utah
11-21Kansas State over Arizona

And 5 more favorite reversals in the complete scenario.

The path is the most likely single complete set of remaining results that satisfies our editorial minimum-win and 12-seat scenario constraints. Its difficulty ranking is relative to the other 43 teams under this same model, not an estimate of actual CFP selection probability. Automatic bids, Notre Dame's top-12 exception, and the selection committee are not fully modeled. October 20, 2026 data snapshot.