2026 CFP Eliminator · Snapshot Oct 20 · Not live

Michigan’s road to the CFP

FULL-ON MAYHEM · Difficulty #37 of 44

Explore the full interactive path →Download share graphic ↓

What Michigan needs

Needs 5 more regular-season wins. Current record 4–2; estimated minimum 9 wins.

10-24Win vs. Indiana
10-31Win at Rutgers
11-07Win vs. Michigan State
11-14Win at Oregon
11-21Win vs. UCLA
11-28Loss at Ohio State

And some help elsewhere

16 modeled favorite reversals in games not involving Michigan.

10-24Auburn over LSU
10-31Wisconsin over Iowa
11-07BYU over Utah
11-07Georgia over Ole Miss
11-07Missouri over Texas
11-14Mississippi State over Auburn
11-14Oklahoma over Ole Miss
11-14Oregon State over Boise State
11-14Arizona over Utah
11-21Kansas State over Arizona

And 6 more favorite reversals in the complete scenario.

The path is the most likely single complete set of remaining results that satisfies our editorial minimum-win and 12-seat scenario constraints. Its difficulty ranking is relative to the other 43 teams under this same model, not an estimate of actual CFP selection probability. Automatic bids, Notre Dame's top-12 exception, and the selection committee are not fully modeled. October 20, 2026 data snapshot.