2026 CFP Eliminator · Snapshot Oct 20 · Not live

Baylor’s road to the CFP

FULL-ON MAYHEM · Difficulty #40 of 44

Explore the full interactive path →Download share graphic ↓

What Baylor needs

Must win out. Current record 4–2; estimated minimum 10 wins.

10-24Win at Kansas
10-30Win at UCF
11-07Win vs. Iowa State
11-14Win at BYU
11-21Win vs. Texas Tech
11-28Win at Houston

And some help elsewhere

13 modeled favorite reversals in games not involving Baylor.

10-24UCF over BYU
10-24Auburn over LSU
10-31Wisconsin over Iowa
11-07Georgia over Ole Miss
11-07Missouri over Texas
11-14Mississippi State over Auburn
11-14Michigan over Oregon
11-14Oklahoma over Ole Miss
11-14Oregon State over Boise State
11-21Missouri over Kentucky

And 3 more favorite reversals in the complete scenario.

The path is the most likely single complete set of remaining results that satisfies our editorial minimum-win and 12-seat scenario constraints. Its difficulty ranking is relative to the other 43 teams under this same model, not an estimate of actual CFP selection probability. Automatic bids, Notre Dame's top-12 exception, and the selection committee are not fully modeled. October 20, 2026 data snapshot.