2026 CFP Eliminator · Snapshot Oct 20 · Not live

Arizona’s road to the CFP

BRING THE POPCORN · Difficulty #22 of 44

Explore the full interactive path →Download share graphic ↓

What Arizona needs

Needs 5 more regular-season wins. Current record 5–1; estimated minimum 10 wins.

10-24Win vs. Iowa State
10-31Loss at Texas Tech
11-06Win vs. TCU
11-14Win vs. Utah
11-21Win at Kansas State
11-28Win vs. Arizona State

And some help elsewhere

15 modeled favorite reversals in games not involving Arizona.

10-24Auburn over LSU
10-31Wisconsin over Iowa
11-07BYU over Utah
11-07Georgia over Ole Miss
11-07Missouri over Texas
11-14Mississippi State over Auburn
11-14Michigan over Oregon
11-14Oklahoma over Ole Miss
11-14Oregon State over Boise State
11-21Missouri over Kentucky

And 5 more favorite reversals in the complete scenario.

The path is the most likely single complete set of remaining results that satisfies our editorial minimum-win and 12-seat scenario constraints. Its difficulty ranking is relative to the other 43 teams under this same model, not an estimate of actual CFP selection probability. Automatic bids, Notre Dame's top-12 exception, and the selection committee are not fully modeled. October 20, 2026 data snapshot.